Alex McCarthy · Southampton

No clear difference against top-half teams

How their passes shifts when playing against top-half teams. Based on last 2 seasons.

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Next fixture context

Next up is Bristol City — their league tier does not match this signal context.

SMALL EDGE

+0.35 per game vs baseline · 5 games against top-half teams

Sample

MODERATE

Small difference. Not meaningful enough to act on.

against top-half teams

25.60

passes / game

Overall

25.25

passes / game

Difference

+0.35

per game

Why it matters

No meaningful difference found against top-half teams. The raw numbers below tell the full story.

Last 5 matching games

−0.3

4 Oct

−0.3

27 Sept

+6.8

25 Jan

+1.8

24 Nov

−6.3

17 Aug

Overall avg (25.25)Bars show difference from average

All 5 matching games

Date	Opponent	Tier	H/A	Passes	vs avg
4 Oct 25	Derby County	TOP	A	25.00	−0.3↓
27 Sept 25	Middlesbrough	TOP	H

Other tendencies (lower confidence)

Fewer passes against mid-table teams

−2.60

More passes at home

+1.60

Fewer passes away from home

−1.60

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