Andreas Albers Nielsen · St. Pauli

No clear difference against lower-table teams

How their on target shifts when playing against lower-table teams. Based on last 1 season.

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Next fixture applies

Next up is Heidenheim, a lower-table side — this pattern applies directly.

SMALL EDGE

+0.26 per game vs baseline · 3 games against lower-table teams

Sample

THIN

Small difference. Not meaningful enough to act on.

Only 3 games in this context. Treat as a hint, not a fact.

against lower-table teams

0.33

on target / game

Overall

0.07

on target / game

Difference

+0.26

per game

Why it matters

No meaningful difference found against lower-table teams. The raw numbers below tell the full story.

Last 3 matching games

−0.1

29 Nov

+0.9

2 Nov

−0.1

30 Aug

Overall avg (0.07)Bars show difference from average

All 3 matching games

Date	Opponent	Tier	H/A	On Target	vs avg
29 Nov 24	Holstein Kiel	BOT	H	0.00	−0.1↓
2 Nov 24	TSG Hoffenheim	BOT	A

Other tendencies (lower confidence)

More passes against lower-table teams

+0.86

Fewer passes against mid-table teams

−0.39

More passes at home

+0.36

More goals against lower-table teams

+0.26

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