Callum Elder · Derby County
How their on target shifts when playing against top-half teams. Based on last 2 seasons.
Next fixture context
Next up is Norwich City — their league tier does not match this signal context.
STRONG EDGE
+0.30 per game vs baseline · 8 games against top-half teams
Sample
STRONG
against top-half teams
0.38
on target / game
Overall
0.07
on target / game
Difference
+0.30
per game
Why it matters
Callum consistently produces more on target against top-half teams. The games below show how consistent that split really is.
Last 5 matching games
All 8 matching games
| Date | Opponent | Tier | H/A | On Target | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 26 | TOP | A | 0.00 | −0.1↓ | |
| 4 Jan 26 | TOP | H |
Other tendencies (lower confidence)
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| 0.00 |
| −0.1↓ |
| 1 Jan 26 | TOP | H | 0.00 | −0.1↓ |
| 10 Dec 25 | TOP | H | 1.00 | +0.9↑ |
| 29 Nov 25 | TOP | A | 0.00 | −0.1↓ |
| 4 Nov 25 | TOP | H | 1.00 | +0.9↑ |
| 30 Aug 25 | TOP | A | 0.00 | −0.1↓ |
| 16 Aug 25 | TOP | H | 1.00 | +0.9↑ |
Tier = opponent's league standing split (top / mid / bottom third)