Duncan Watmore · Millwall
How their on target shifts when playing against mid-table teams. Based on last 2 seasons.
Next fixture context
Next up is Stoke City — their league tier does not match this signal context.
MODERATE EDGE
+0.27 per game vs baseline · 20 games against mid-table teams
Sample
STRONG
against mid-table teams
0.70
on target / game
Overall
0.43
on target / game
Difference
+0.27
per game
Why it matters
Duncan consistently produces more on target against mid-table teams. The games below show how consistent that split really is.
Last 5 matching games
All 20 matching games
| Date | Opponent | Tier | H/A | On Target | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 25 | MID | H | 0.00 | −0.4↓ | |
| 28 Jan 25 | MID | A |
Other tendencies (lower confidence)
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| 0.00 |
| −0.4↓ |
| 26 Dec 24 | MID | A | 1.00 | +0.6↑ |
| 14 Dec 24 | MID | A | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 26 Oct 24 | MID | A | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 5 Oct 24 | MID | A | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 21 Sept 24 | MID | A | 2.00 | +1.6↑ |
| 31 Aug 24 | MID | H | 2.00 | +1.6↑ |
| 10 Aug 24 | MID | H | 3.00 | +2.6↑ |
| 4 May 24 | MID | A | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 20 Apr 24 | MID | A | 1.00 | +0.6↑ |
| 13 Apr 24 | MID | H | 1.00 | +0.6↑ |
| 2 Mar 24 | MID | H | 1.00 | +0.6↑ |
| 11 Feb 24 | MID | A | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 1 Jan 24 | MID | A | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 9 Dec 23 | MID | A | 1.00 | +0.6↑ |
| 2 Dec 23 | MID | H | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 25 Nov 23 | MID | H | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
| 30 Sept 23 | MID | H | 2.00 | +1.6↑ |
| 12 Aug 23 | MID | H | 0.00 | −0.4↓ |
Tier = opponent's league standing split (top / mid / bottom third)