Tom Watson · Millwall

No clear difference vs lower sides

How their shots shifts when playing vs lower sides. Based on last 1 season.

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Next fixture applies

Next up is Leicester City, a lower-table side — this pattern applies directly.

SMALL EDGE

+0.23 per game vs baseline · 4 games vs lower sides

Sample

THIN

Small difference. Not meaningful enough to act on.

Only 4 games in this context. Treat as a hint, not a fact.

vs lower sides

0.50

shots / game

Overall

0.27

shots / game

Difference

+0.23

per game

Why it matters

No meaningful difference found vs lower sides. The raw numbers below tell the full story.

Last 4 matching games

−0.3

21 Apr

−0.3

10 Apr

+0.7

21 Feb

+0.7

14 Feb

Overall avg (0.27)Bars show difference from average

All 4 matching games

Date	Opponent	Tier	H/A	Shots	vs avg
21 Apr 26	Stoke City	BOT	A	0.00	−0.3↓
10 Apr 26	West Bromwich Albion	BOT	A

Other tendencies (lower confidence)

Draws more fouls vs lower sides

+0.48

Fewer passes vs mid-table

−0.42

More passes vs lower sides

+0.41

Draws fewer fouls vs top sides

−0.27

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